M213:BayesianReasoningandProbabilityTheory

Bayesian Reasoning and Probability Theory

Does being tall make you more likely to become a professional athlete? If you flip a coin and get tails three times in a row, are you less likely to get tails again? Outcomes in a scenario may differ depending on what has already happened — and probability gives us the tools to reason carefully about that.

In M213 Bayesian Reasoning and Probability Theory, you will:


• Explore how past events can affect the chances of future outcomes, and learn what it means for events to be independent
• Apply Bayes' Rule and use tools like two-way tables and tree diagrams to calculate probabilities and determine whether events are connected
• Use technology to simulate random events, estimate probabilities, and interpret results

Examples of careers that use M213 concepts: biology, health research, and risk management.

Associated Badges

Learning Goals

Content & Practice Expectations

Each badge framework describes the mathematics skills and understandings that students will need to demonstrate to earn each badge through a set of Content & Practice Expectations (CPEs).

Assessments

Introduction to Badge Assessments

This document provides an overview of the different badging forms of assessment.

Portfolio Resources

A portfolio of evidence consists of student-produced artifacts that demonstrate proficiency against a badge’s CPEs. The portfolio development process involves students selecting and reflecting on artifacts that showcase their understanding of badge CPEs, followed by iterative teacher review and student-teacher conferencing until the work demonstrates proficiency.

Professional Learning Resources

Download a sample Professional Learning presentation for this badge that you may copy and customize to suit your needs. When available, samples of student work are provided for discussion.